Thursday, September 12, 2019

Lunar Land Rights (news from the future)

(Exert from Space Resources Quarterly)
January 27, 2027

To celebrate the 60th anniversary of the United Nations' Outer Space Treaty, leaders around the world have ratified the most comprehensive, and possibly complicated, legal document for treating the common resources of humanity.  With today's vote, there is now a line in the sand to the legality of the dozens of proposed space-based ventures to the moon and beyond.  For our readers, the most significant near term change is how land and resource rights on the lunar surface will be handled.  I sat down with Eryn Lambert to get her perspective on how the new Outer Space Treaty will be implemented.

"What would your summary of the new Outer Space Treaty be?"

"The really short answer would be that the new treaty lets businesses and governments know who they need to talk to do something on a celestial body.  Anything from landing a probe, to setting up a research station, mine will now require some interaction with the UNOOSA (United Nations Office of Outer Space Affairs)."

"When you say that someone needs to interact with the UNOOSA, would that be like an American pilot registering their flight plan with the FAA?"

"It's certainly a bit more complicated than that, and it really depends on what you're hoping to do, for example, if I'm a small research organization and I want to send a rover to Mars' moon Phobos not much has really changed from the old treaty, I still need to register my mission with my government who would share that information with the UN.  What is different is that organizations can now register their mission directly with the UNOOSA.  When you start talking about bases and resource extraction, that's where things have really changed."

"What are the changes to resource extraction rules?"

"Before the new treaty was signed there really weren't any real international laws or treaties on how resource rights were defined.  I mean several nations did pass the Moon Treaty in the '80s, the fact that no one on the security council ratified the thing makes it pretty toothless.  The new treaty creates very clear guidelines for the Moon and mapped near-Earth asteroids. For the Moon, the surface has been divided into billions of individual plots of land.  Each plot of land will be associated with one or more countries if you want to extract resources from that plot you will need to make an agreement with representatives from those nations."

"Wow that does sound complicated"

"We've barely started.  Lunar land plots are not actually considered a nation's territory, this would violate the original Outer Space Treaty, each plot will instead be a legal entity, referred to as a Tile with its own unique charter for how long the Tile will exist and who its shareholders are.  At the end of the Tiles designated period, any funds paid into the Tile will be distributed to the shareholders.  When a tile reaches its expiration date the Tile will be broken apart a new set of Tiles will be generated to cover the Lunar surface.  Currently, there are 4 major classes of Tile, 1 year, 10 years, 100 years, and 1000 years.  One thousand year Tiles will cover the near side of the Lunar Surface and a 1 km radius around any historic landing site predating the new Treaty.  Tiles are intended to help ensure that every nation can directly earn revenue from extraction, to that end there are contract minimums for any and all Tiles.  This was intended to avoid a race to the bottom..."

Welcome to the present

I hope you enjoyed this rather different post, while the article was on the headier end of the spectrum I think it is a helpful part of the equation for thinking about the future in terms beyond just what kind of hardware will people use, but what legal framework we will use.

The Outer Space Treaty and Moon treaty are both real and right now we don't have a global agreement on how the benefits of space exploration will actually help everyone.  I mean, yes the UN OOSA does have a website on how using space will help to benefit humanity, but right now it's along the lines of using satellites to help us use terrestrial resources better (a great thing to do, just that's not the only thing we can do in space)

What this article advocates, and for the moment (Sept 2019) matches what I think should be done. 
Basically, I think we should create a collection of trusts that are responsible for the Moon, asteroids, etc.. these trusts would charge companies that want to extract resources from these objects.  The last two lines about a minimum cost for mining rights is based on a personal belief that if such rules are not codified some nations with corrupt leadership will simply accept a bribe and officially charge nothing for resource extraction, defeating the purpose of having a global charter on resource extraction. 


The fees raised from the resource rights would then be used to fund programs in various nations here on Earth.  Now there are several ways we can distribute the money and at that point, I'm not even remotely qualified to give a firm answer on how the money gets distributed.

Here are some possibilities that I could see being used to distribute money raised from Tile leases

1)  Giving the money equally to all citizens of the nations that have shares in a leased Tile

2)  Mandating that all funds from Tile leases be invested into sovereign wealth funds, where the money is only distributed after several years of growth

3)  Designating Tile funds for development projects

4)  Replacing taxes

Etc...

There is also the question of how many Tiles a country gets.  Personally, I think the number of tiles given to a country would ideally be some calculation based on what percentage of the global population your country has, how economically developed your economy is, possibly environmental considerations and other things.

Ex.  The US is pretty wealthy as such our 4ish% of the world's population, would grant us less than 4% of the lunar tile rights.  The current environmental policies of the US Federal government would further decrease the number of tiles that we would be eligible for.

For a country like India where per capita income is far lower, the number of tiles would likely be greater relative to their population. 


I acknowledge that this idea is complicated and what the world agrees to is unlikely to match what is outlined here.  I do hope that whatever legislation for space-based resource extraction does develop does strive to ensure that all of humanity benefits from our solar system's resources. 


possible thoughts on asteroid rights


For near-Earth asteroids, there are dozens of classifications and sub-categories, but broad strokes, every mapped asteroid is now under the jurisdiction of at least 2 countries.  If you want to mine that asteroid you need to meet with representatives of the nations that own that asteroid.  Right now there are two options, you can negotiate with the nations who claim the asteroid or you can choose to pay the minimum extraction rate, where you pay into a shared account held by
 so long as the asteroid is smaller than a cubic kilometer


Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Growing the Growing Season

Nov 3, 2024
Sarah Bishop looks anxiously out at her old cornfields.  For the first time in almost 100 years, the view has had a dramatic change.  Instead of bare ground and debris from the corn harvest, there is row after row of silver mirrored tubes and a faint hint of green.  Sarah is one of the first large scale beta-testers of Smart Farms' brand new Winter Green Bioreactors.  If everything works out as Smart Farms has advertised Sarah will be able to produce enough bio-diesel to power all of her farm and maybe even sell some fuel to neighbors.  If something goes wrong Sarah will have missed her chance to lock in fuel prices for next year and could take a huge hit on the incredibly volatile oil market.

"I still can't believe Sachin (Gupta, Smart Farms' CEO) talked me into this.  Lots of my neighbors think I'm crazy to try, but my kids are getting older and I want them to know that their mom took the chance to keep the farm in the family."

For so many American farmers facing the challenges of climate change, Sarah knows that business, as usual, ended 4 years ago and now she is ready to be bold.  Sachin Gupta is the mastermind of this bold innovation in the algae biofuel market.  "For people like Sarah winter on the farm is a lost opportunity, cold dark days mean you have 4 months where you are just anxiously hoping that the next growing season will work out.  Our team wanted to create something that would help farmers become more self-sufficient while lowering emissions."  

To meet the goal of promoting farmer's self-reliance Sachin's team has developed a new type of bio-reactor.  Using a deceptively simple-looking collection of nested inflatable tubes the Winter Green Bioreactor helps to create a self-regulating algae growth chamber that helps convert sunlight and carbon dioxide into useful biofuel.  The outer tube helps to concentrate weaker winter sunlight onto a collection of tubes nested inside where the algae can grow.  By using adaptive materials and clever use of insulation the Winter Green Bioreactor will help keep the algae at just the right temperature to grow.  

Cutaway view of the Winter Green Bioreactor


Dotted among the silver tubes of Winter Green are non-descript boxes covered in solar panels.  These boxes are another part of the secret sauce of the system.  They help to move the water and air that the algae need to grow.  In addition to the pumps and circulation system, the boxes will automatically filter out surplus algae.

"That was one of our biggest challenges was training the filter mechanisms.  If you take out too much algae you're wasting sunlight, too little and you start running out of nutrients slowing growth"

If things go according to plan, fuel from farms like Sarah's will be producing low carbon fuel for less than $2/gallon.  


Follow up 
Jan 12, 2025

Sarah looks much happier now, algae growth has gone better than expected.  Two weeks after the original article was published a neighboring dairy farm reached out to Sarah and the other Beta Testers.  It has been a win-win for both communities, for the dairy farm they no longer need to worry about too much manure leaching into the groundwater, for Sarah, the algae on her farm have plenty of nutrients to grow as fast as the sun will let them.  

"I'm pretty happy, we already have enough fuel to power all of our equipment for the next growing season and we have six more weeks to hopefully make enough for the Johnsons next door"

*welcome back to the present

This idea originally came about from my article on Agrivoltaics in farming, trying to imagine other uses for the agrivoltaic structure during the winter months when you aren't growing.  Originally I was thinking that you would hang special algae growth bags, after a collection of random thoughts I cane to the concept above.

Some technical stuff

Growing algae is a balancing act of sufficient nutrients, sunlight, and temperature.  The idea of having nested inflatable bags I believe could solve several of those.  The outer tube would help to regulate the interior temperature as well as provide the structure necessary for the reflector elements to focus sunlight.  For most algae the preferred temperature of growth is between 16 C and 30 C, there are species who can happily grow at higher or lower temperatures.  

I intentionally didn't include an actual scaling value in the image because, well I'm just not qualified at the moment to have a firm value, that being said, almost every article I've read indicates that anything deeper than 3-4 inches for a thick algae growth is a waste as there isn't sufficient sunlight,  so I would pretend that the center tube has only about 3 inches between the surface and the nutrient dispersal tube in the middle.

The $2/gallon value was inspired by a biofuel company's claim that their system could produce fuel at $1.27 gallon (assuming you are producing 8,000 gallons per year per hectare (1 hectare (10,000sq meters)  = 2.47 acres))).  I have no idea how the economics would work for a system trying to grow algae during the darkest parts of the year, but I wanted a plausible adjacent number.  

The best-case scenario for these seasonal inflatable bioreactors is for people like Sarah.  People who want to produce their fuel for super local consumption.  If the plan is to export the biofuel hundreds of miles the environment would probably be better off having the fuel made in places where year-round production was possible.  That being said I do think a part of our future will include things like algae being grown incredibly locally, it wouldn't be too crazy to imagine homes having bio-walls producing small quantities of biofuel year-round, so on those days where there hasn't been enough sun or wind to charge the batteries there is a back up energy source.

Further Reading 



As always questions and feedback are welcome